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Environment & Science

Severe solar storms could hit Earth and trigger auroras, space forecasters say

Allentown aurora borealis
Stephanie Sigafoos
/
LehighValleyNews.com
The aurora borealis was seen in Allentown about 7 p.m. Oct. 10, 2024. The solar phenomenon could be seen as far south as Alabama as coronal mass ejections reach Earth Nov. 11-12.

NEW YORK (AP) — Space weather forecasters issued an alert Tuesday for incoming severe solar storms that could produce colorful northern lights and temporarily disrupt communications.

In the past few days, the sun has burped out several bursts of energy called coronal mass ejections that could reach Earth on Tuesday night and early Wednesday, according to forecasters with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The vibrant displays could be visible across much of the northern United States, and as far south as Alabama and Northern California.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecasters

The potential severe geomagnetic storms could disrupt radio and GPS communications, forecasters said.

How bright the auroras are and how far south they are visible will depend on when the solar bursts get here and how they interact with Earth's atmosphere.

The vibrant displays could be visible across much of the northern United States, and as far south as Alabama and Northern California, they said.

CME_phenomena_update.jpg
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
NOAA describes coronal mass ejections, also known as CME's as "large expulsions of plasma and magnetic field from the Sun’s corona."

How northern lights happen

The sun is at the maximum phase of its 11-year activity cycle, making the light displays more common and widespread.

Colorful northern lights have decorated night skies in unexpected places and space weather experts say there are more auroras to come.

Aurora displays known as the northern and southern lights are commonly visible near the poles, where charged particles from the sun interact with Earth’s atmosphere.

Skygazers are spotting the lights deeper into the United States and Europe because the sun is going through a major face-lift. Every 11 years, its poles swap places, causing magnetic twists and tangles along the way.

Last year, the strongest geomagnetic storm in two decades slammed Earth, producing light displays across the Northern Hemisphere.

And soon afterward, a powerful solar storm dazzled skygazers far from the Arctic Circle when dancing lights appeared in unexpected places including Germany, the United Kingdom, New England and New York City.

The sun’s active spurt is expected to last at least through the end of this year, though when solar activity will peak won’t be known until months after the fact, according to NASA and NOAA.

NOAA aurora forecast
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Space Weather Prediction Center's aurora forecast for Tuesday, Nov. 11 and Wednesday, Nov. 12, 2025.

How solar storms affect Earth

Solar storms can bring more than colorful lights to Earth.

When fast-moving particles and plasma slam into Earth’s magnetic field, they can temporarily disrupt the power grid.

Space weather also can interfere with air traffic control radio and satellites in orbit. Severe storms are capable of scrambling other radio and GPS communications.

In 1859, a severe solar storm triggered auroras as far south as Hawaii and set telegraph lines on fire in a rare event. And a 1972 solar storm may have detonated magnetic U.S. sea mines off the coast of Vietnam.

Space weather experts aren’t able to predict a solar storm months in advance. Instead, they alert relevant parties to prepare in the days before a solar outburst hits Earth.

How to see auroras

Northern lights forecasts can be found on NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center website or an aurora forecasting app.

Consider aurora-watching in a quiet, dark area away from city lights. Experts recommend skygazing from a local or national park.

And check the weather forecast because clouds can cover up the spectacle entirely.

The visibility of auroras depends on the geomagnetic activity, according to the National Weather Service, which is indicated by the planetary K index, or Kp.

The Kp index ranges from 0 to 9, with 9 bringing "very bright and active" displays in the sky.

Aurora_Kp_MapNorthAm.png
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
A graphic from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Space Weather Prediction Center depicting how far south stargazers can view an aurora, based on its geomagnetic storm index and Kp index.

Geomagnetic storms with Kp ranging from 7 to 9 can be seen from Pennsylvania, a graphic from the Space Weather Prediction Center depicts.

The NWS recommends watching within an hour or two of midnight, but cloudy conditions could hinder nighttime views.

Forecasts for the area call for breezy conditions Tuesday and Wednesday night, with some cloud coverage.

The National Weather Service expects increasing cloud coverage Tuesday night, moving into partly cloudy conditions Wednesday night in the Valley.

Taking a picture with a smartphone camera also may reveal hints of the aurora not visible to the naked eye.