Sabrina Carpenter's Grammy Award nominations put Lehigh Valley native atop the music business. What are her chances of winning?

BETHLEHEM, Pa. — Lehigh Valley native Sabrina Carpenter has been nominated for six Grammy Awards, including the “Big Four” categories: Best New Artist, Album of the Year, Record of the Year and Song of the Year.

The nominations, announced Friday, put Carpenter at the top of the music business — among just two artists to achieve those nominations (fellow pop songstress Chappell Roan is the other).

It's also just the third time in the Grammys 67-year history that two artists have achieved that feat in the same year. Billie Eilish and Lizzo did it five years ago, and Olivia Rodrigo and Finneas three years ago.

Carpenter also matched the six nominations by fellow Pennsylvania native Taylor Swift, though several of Swift's nominations came in lessor categories such as Best Music Video and Best Pop Duo/Group.

The 2025 Grammys will air live from Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles at 8 p.m. Feb. 2.

The Grammy nominations top a phenomenal year for Carpenter, who grew up in Lower Milford Township.

Her single "Espresso," released in April, has sold triple platinum, and this week still was at No. 4 on Billboard's Hot 100 songs, 29 weeks after its release.

Her most recent single, "Taste," was at No. 9 in its 10th week on the chart after peaking at No. 2.

The song released between them, "Please Please Please," which sold double platinum and hit No. 1, still was at No. 18 after 21 weeks on the chart.

Earlier this year, all three were in the Top 5, making Carpenter the first woman and the only act other than The Beatles to have three Top 5 hits in the same week.

(Her songs "Bad Chem," "Juno" and "Good Graces" also all remained in the Top 100.)

The album on which all those songs appear, "Short n' Sweet," released Aug. 23, remained at No. 3 on Billboard's Top 200 after 10 weeks on the chart. It's by far her most successful album, spending four weeks at No. 1 and already having platinum sales.

And Carpenter though this month remains on her sold-out tour, which stopped at Philadelphia's Wells Fargo Center on Oct. 11.

Breaking down the nominations

Carpenter's nomination for Record of the Year is for "Espresso," the award for performance and production of a song.

It puts her in direct competition with both Swift, who also is nominated for “Fortnight” (featuring Post Malone), and Roan's “Good Luck, Babe!” which also hit platinum and was at No.12 this week after 32 weeks on the chart.

Also nominated in the category is Beyoncé's “Texas Hold ‘Em” and, believe it or not, even The Beatles, whose “Now And Then," released a year ago, pulled John Lennon's voice from a demo using new technology.

"Espresso" also is nominated for Best Pop Solo Performance, again against "Good Luck, Babe!"

A note: "Espresso" also was nominated for a Grammy for Best Remixed Recording, but that award goes to the producer.

Carpenter's Song of the Year nomination, which recognizes artistic achievement, is for "Please Please Please." It's again up against Swift's "Fortnight," Roan's "Good Luck Babe!" and Beyoncé's “Texas Hold ‘Em,” and others.

Carpenter's biggest competition may come in the Album of the Year category, where "Short N’ Sweet" faces the juggernaughts of Swift's “The Tortured Poets Department” and Beyoncé's “Cowboy Carter” — her step into country music.

With Swift’s "The Tortured Poets Department" nomination, she becomes the woman with the most nominations ever in the category at seven.

Swift’s album topped the Billboard 200 for 15 weeks, longer than any other album this year, and longer than any of her previous albums.

And Beyoncé’s nomination gives her the Black artist with the most album of the year nominations as a lead artist, with five.

Roan’s debut "The Rise & Fall of a Midwest Princess" was released in September 2023, a week after the start of the eligibility year, peaked at No. 2 and achieved gold sales.

This week, it still was at No. 12.

It also will face Carpenter's "Short n' Sweet" for Best Pop Vocal Album.

Roan's disc included four gold singles — "Pink Pony Club" and "Hot to Go," both still on the chart this week; "Casual"; and "Red Wine Supernova." But her biggest song, "Good Luck Babe!" was not on the album.

Best new artist after six albums

Carpenter's nomination for Best New Artist may be the most perplexing.

While her likely chief rival Roan released her debut album in 2023, Carpenter, of course, had a run as a Disney artist, after gaining recognition on Disney Channel's "Girl Meets World" and performing its theme song.

Carpenter, 25, released her debut, "Eyes Wide Open" in 2015 on Disney's Hollywood Records and followed that with three more discs through 2018 that hit the lower ends of the Albums chart and contained five songs that went sold gold or platinum, but charted in the lower end of the Top 100.

Carpenter then switched to Island Records for 2022's "Emails I Can't Send," which became her breakout — selling the gold single "Because I Liked a Boy" and the platinum hits "Nonsense" and "Feather," the latter which hit No. 1 on the Pop chart.

Harvey Mason Jr., chief executive officer of The Recording Academy, which presents the Grammys, recently was quoted as saying Best New Artist is less about a musician's newness and more about ascension to "prominence."

Carpenter's story is one of an artist on the cusp of stardom for nearly a decade before really hitting it big — a story that could capture Grammy voters' attention.